Article

Weather Research and Forecasting-Fire Simulated Burned Area and Propagation Direction Sensitivity to Initiation Point Location and Time

公开 Deposited
https://scholar.colorado.edu/concern/articles/sn00b033c
Abstract
  •  

    Wildland fire behavior models are often initiated using the detection information listed in incident reports. This information carries an unknown amount of uncertainty, though it is often the most readily available ignition data. To determine the extent to which the use of detection information affects wildland fire forecasts, this research examines the range of burned area values and propagation directions resulting from different initiation point locations and times. We examined the forecasts for ten Colorado 2018 wildland fire case studies, each initiated from a set of 17 different point locations, and three different starting times (a total of 520 case study simulations). The results show that the range of forecast burned area and propagation direction values is strongly affected by the location of the initiation location, and to a lesser degree by the time of initiation.
Creator
Date Issued
  • 2022
Academic Affiliation
Journal Title
Journal Issue/Number
  • 3
Journal Volume
  • 5
最新修改
  • 2023-07-24
Resource Type
权利声明
License
DOI
ISSN
  • 2571-6255
Language

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