Graduate Thesis Or Dissertation
The Impacts of Demographic Stochasticity on Populations and Communities Public Deposited
https://scholar.colorado.edu/concern/graduate_thesis_or_dissertations/r207tp39b
- Abstract
- Accurate descriptions of ecological processes often require accounting for demographic stochasticity, the variation that arises in populations and communities as a result of probabilistic demography (e.g., birth, death, migration). Much theory has been developed for understanding the population-level effects of demographic stochasticity, but ecology largely lacks rigorous community-level descriptions of its consequences. Furthermore, how demographic stochasticity affects other complex biological systems, such as populations responding to continuously-changing environments or populations undergoing range expansion, is not well understood. Here I address some of these gaps using theoretical and experimental approaches. First, I examine how demographic stochasticity affects competitive dynamics in two-species communities and find, both experimentally and using simulations, that demographic stochasticity can produce outcomes not predicted by traditional deterministic models. In the next section, I consider the effects of continuously-changing environments and describe a continuous-time simulation approach that combines environment-dependent demography and demographic stochasticity. I simulate the approach for multiple ecological models and environmental change scenarios and find that accounting for environment-dependent demography in stochastic systems is often necessary for avoiding bias. In the last two sections, I examine the applied issue of geographic range shifts, a multi-faceted phemonemon affecting many species globally and one with substantial economic and social costs. Recognizing the significant variation in range shifts arising from, in part, probabilistic demography, I use highly-replicated experimental approaches to understand the effects of two different processes thought to affect range shifts: spatial selection, and interspecific competition. In the first of these sections, I find that the effects of spatial selection depend on both the intrinsic dispersal ability of expanding organisms as well as the environment into which they expand. In the second section, I show, for the first time empirically, that interspecific competition can effectively halt range expansion for multiple generations. Throughout this work, I illustrate both the role of demographic stochasticity as an emergent driver of ecological dynamics and the importance of using controlled, replicated experiments for understanding highly stochastic biological processes.
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- Date Issued
- 2017
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- Last Modified
- 2019-11-16
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Thumbnail | Title | Date Uploaded | Visibility | Actions |
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theImpactsOfDemographicStochasticityOnPopulationsAndCommu.pdf | 2019-11-12 | Public | Download |