Article

Continuous CH4 and δ13CH4 measurements in London demonstrate under-reported natural gas leakage

Public Deposited
https://scholar.colorado.edu/concern/articles/02870x57n
Abstract
  • Top-down greenhouse gas measurements can be used to independently assess the accuracy of bottom- up emission estimates. We report atmospheric methane (CH4) mole fractions and δ13CHmeasurements from Imperial College London from early 2018 onwards using a Picarro G2201-i analyser. Measurements from March 2018 to October 2020 were compared to simulations of CHmole fractions and δ13CHproduced us- ing the NAME (Numerical Atmospheric-dispersion Modelling Environment) dispersion model coupled with the UK National Atmospheric Emissions Inventory, UK NAEI, and a global inventory, the Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR), with model spatial resolutions of ∼ 2, ∼ 10, and ∼ 25 km. Simulation– measurement comparisons are used to evaluate London emissions and the source apportionment in the global (EDGAR) and UK national (NAEI) emission inventories. Observed mole fractions were underestimated by 30 %–35 % in the NAEI simulations. In contrast, a good correspondence between observations and EDGAR simulations was seen. There was no correlation between the measured and simulated δ13CHvalues for either NAEI or EDGAR, however, suggesting the inventories’ sectoral attributions are incorrect. On average, natural gas sources accounted for 20 %–28 % of the above background CHin the NAEI simulations and only 6 %– 9 % in the EDGAR simulations. In contrast, nearly 84 % of isotopic source values calculated by Keeling plot analysis (using measurement data from the afternoon) of individual pollution events were higher than 45 ‰, suggesting the primary CHsources in London are actually natural gas leaks. The simulation–observation com- parison of CHmole fractions suggests that total emissions in London are much higher than the NAEI estimate (0.04 Tg CHyr1) but close to, or slightly lower than, the EDGAR estimate (0.10 Tg CHyr1). However, the simulation–observation comparison of δ13CHand the Keeling plot results indicate that emissions due to natural gas leaks in London are being underestimated in both the UK NAEI and EDGAR.

Creator
Date Issued
  • 2022
Academic Affiliation
Journal Title
Journal Issue/Number
  • 5
Journal Volume
  • 22
Last Modified
  • 2025-01-02
Resource Type
Rights Statement
License
DOI
ISSN
  • 1680-7324
Language

Relations

Items